Slicing the Throat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (20 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 34
Defender wins (British): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1056 | 37% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1040 | 1221 | 26% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
| 1143 | 1132 | 52% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1132 | 1143 | 48% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1145 | 1017 | 68% | 2024-01-22 | Tied |
| 958 | 1006 | 43% | 2020-10-31 | Won |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 2020-09-25 | Won |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2019-06-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 1030 | 64% | 2019-04-04 | Won |
| 1216 | 988 | 79% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 988 | 79% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1019 | 49% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1040 | 1151 | 35% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2014-10-23 | Won |
| 1130 | 982 | 70% | 2014-07-13 | Won |
| 835 | 942 | 35% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1046 | 58% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1077 | 977 | 64% | 2014-05-23 | Won |
| 1225 | 1178 | 57% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1090.5 vs 1059.2 has a 54.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).