Slicing the Throat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (19 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 55
Defender wins (British): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 986 | 64% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
| 1132 | 1132 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1132 | 1132 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1149 | 1029 | 67% | 2024-01-22 | Tied |
| 968 | 1116 | 30% | 2020-10-31 | Won |
| 1142 | 1136 | 51% | 2020-09-25 | Won |
| 1209 | 1078 | 68% | 2019-06-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2019-04-04 | Won |
| 1236 | 953 | 84% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1236 | 953 | 84% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 949 | 1003 | 42% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1070 | 1100 | 46% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2014-07-13 | Won |
| 837 | 952 | 34% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1089 | 51% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1036 | 1011 | 54% | 2014-05-23 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1091.7 vs 1036.1 has a 57.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).