Full Moon Madness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Japanese): 5
Defender wins (British): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2025-02-09 | | Won |
| 944 | 1037 | 37% | 2021-07-15 | | Won |
| 986 | 1098 | 34% | 2020-11-22 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1133 | 34% | 2019-07-18 | | Lost |
| 875 | 966 | 37% | 2016-03-14 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2014-09-20 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 998.4 vs 1033.4 has a 44.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).