In Pursuit of the French
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 15
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1016 | 50% | 2026-04-27 | Lost |
| 1036 | 946 | 63% | 2026-03-10 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-01-10 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1056 | 62% | 2022-01-14 | Won |
| 989 | 992 | 50% | 2021-10-28 | Won |
| 992 | 1035 | 44% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
| 992 | 1016 | 47% | 2021-10-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 1028 | 40% | 2020-05-06 | Lost |
| 1030 | 946 | 62% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 954 | 946 | 51% | 2019-01-05 | Won |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2015-09-16 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1215 | 48% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1019.8 vs 1010.6 has a 51.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).