In Pursuit of the French
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (French): 4
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2026-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-03-10 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1055 | 62% | 2022-01-14 | | Won |
| 999 | 989 | 51% | 2021-10-28 | | Won |
| 989 | 1035 | 43% | 2021-10-21 | | Won |
| 989 | 1016 | 46% | 2021-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1028 | 48% | 2020-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-01-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2015-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2015-01-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1013.9 vs 1027.5 has a 48.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).