The Montiguidi Mambo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (11 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1056 | 51% | 2026-04-03 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1066 | 41% | 2026-04-03 | Won |
| 1213 | 1155 | 58% | 2026-04-03 | Lost |
| 1110 | 998 | 66% | 2025-05-04 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1023 | 78% | 2022-02-21 | Won |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 942 | 969 | 46% | 2015-06-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 984 | 50% | 2015-04-23 | Lost |
| 890 | 1136 | 20% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1127 | 50% | 2014-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1060.4 has a 50.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).