The Montiguidi Mambo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (8 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1058 | 60% | 2025-05-04 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2022-02-21 | Won |
| 1110 | 962 | 70% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 962 | 70% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 942 | 1074 | 32% | 2015-06-22 | Lost |
| 977 | 1010 | 45% | 2015-04-23 | Lost |
| 890 | 1136 | 20% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1128 | 40% | 2014-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1042.5 has a 50.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).