The Montiguidi Mambo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (11 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2026-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2026-04-03 | | Won |
| 1198 | 1138 | 59% | 2026-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2025-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2022-02-21 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2016-01-22 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2016-01-22 | | Won |
| 943 | 1055 | 34% | 2015-06-22 | | Lost |
| 976 | 983 | 49% | 2015-04-23 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2014-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2014-10-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.4 vs 1024.8 has a 52.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).