The Montiguidi Mambo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (8 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1089 | 53% | 2025-05-04 | Lost |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2022-02-21 | Won |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 942 | 1024 | 38% | 2015-06-22 | Lost |
| 980 | 1009 | 46% | 2015-04-23 | Lost |
| 891 | 1136 | 20% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1126 | 46% | 2014-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1064.3 has a 47.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).