The Montiguidi Mambo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (8 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1123 | 44% | 2025-05-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2022-02-21 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 942 | 1051 | 35% | 2015-06-22 | Lost |
| 977 | 1009 | 45% | 2015-04-23 | Lost |
| 890 | 1137 | 19% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1127 | 41% | 2014-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1048.1 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).