Mile Peg 61
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (12 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Australian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1200 | 1078 | 67% | 2022-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2022-02-24 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1039 | 39% | 2018-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2018-01-27 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1126 | 30% | 2017-07-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2017-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2016-02-05 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2015-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2015-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2015-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 938 | 67% | 2014-10-11 | | Won |
| 891 | 1147 | 19% | 2014-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 1068.1 has a 43.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).