Mile Peg 61
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1190 | 1002 | 75% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1093 | 43% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 950 | 1051 | 36% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1163 | 45% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 978 | 1100 | 33% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2016-02-05 | Won |
| 1106 | 988 | 66% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 989 | 975 | 52% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1204 | 805 | 91% | 2015-06-21 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1015 | 53% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1059 | 939 | 67% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 890 | 1055 | 28% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1013.8 vs 1031.1 has a 47.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).