Mile Peg 61
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 1045 | 68% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1089 | 43% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 1051 | 38% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1159 | 46% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 977 | 1081 | 35% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2016-02-05 | Won |
| 1123 | 988 | 69% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 989 | 1023 | 45% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2015-06-21 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1015 | 53% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 939 | 66% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 891 | 1098 | 23% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1058.2 has a 48.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).