Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (18 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 37
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1128 | 1095 | 55% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
925 | 891 | 55% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
1095 | 953 | 69% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
1008 | 975 | 55% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
1057 | 1087 | 46% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
1117 | 1087 | 54% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
1307 | 1087 | 78% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
1273 | 1109 | 72% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
987 | 1015 | 46% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
1181 | 1180 | 50% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
1307 | 1178 | 68% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
1050 | 986 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
1050 | 1124 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
959 | 838 | 67% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
956 | 1095 | 31% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1045 has a 53.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).