Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (21 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1121 | 52% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1196 | 841 | 89% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 891 | 1100 | 23% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
| 917 | 1151 | 21% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1100 | 953 | 70% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1079 | 978 | 64% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1063 | 49% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1117 | 51% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1126 | 60% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1081 | 1063 | 53% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1333 | 1058 | 83% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
| 1257 | 1188 | 60% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1212 | 46% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
| 1333 | 1178 | 71% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1050 | 1122 | 40% | 2014-10-22 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1125 | 41% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 885 | 834 | 57% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1151 | 1152 | 50% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1100 | 32% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1097.8 vs 1072 has a 53.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).