Armored Car Savikurki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (36 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2026-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 960 | 62% | 2026-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-12-19 | | Won |
| 909 | 1033 | 33% | 2025-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-09-21 | | Won |
| 944 | 1127 | 26% | 2024-05-27 | | Won |
| 989 | 966 | 53% | 2024-01-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2023-11-22 | | Won |
| 1182 | 946 | 80% | 2023-08-06 | | Won |
| 946 | 1182 | 20% | 2023-07-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2023-05-21 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-04-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2022-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2020-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2019-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2019-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-03-02 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2018-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2018-07-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2018-04-08 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-03-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2018-01-10 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1103 | 31% | 2017-12-27 | | Won |
| 1070 | 974 | 63% | 2017-01-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2017-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2016-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2016-04-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2016-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1266 | 939 | 87% | 2016-03-07 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-07-29 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2015-07-29 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2015-05-22 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1147 | 36% | 2015-04-04 | | Won |
| 1266 | 1132 | 68% | 2015-01-25 | | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1050.3 vs 1050.4 has a 49.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).