Torment at Tormua
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (14 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 23
Defender wins (Finnish): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 933 | 73% | 2024-05-26 | Won |
| 949 | 1192 | 20% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 916 | 1021 | 35% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1091 | 57% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1100 | 65% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1192 | 51% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 907 | 1139 | 21% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1136 | 927 | 77% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1152 | 1196 | 44% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1076.7 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).