Torment at Tormua
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (15 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 23
Defender wins (Finnish): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 985 | 54% | 2025-12-22 | Lost |
| 1203 | 946 | 81% | 2024-05-26 | Won |
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 914 | 1027 | 34% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1084 | 63% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1100 | 55% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1178 | 985 | 75% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1143 | 1096 | 57% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1203 | 33% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1134 | 903 | 79% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 977 | 1099 | 33% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1138 | 1194 | 42% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1080.9 vs 1053 has a 54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).