Ghostbusters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (28 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (French): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1161 | 1125 | 55% | 2026-01-24 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1039 | 66% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1040 | 1043 | 50% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1042 | 50% | 2023-08-13 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1243 | 34% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1070 | 1127 | 42% | 2020-08-01 | Lost |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1126 | 1168 | 44% | 2017-11-02 | Won |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 898 | 1056 | 29% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1071 | 51% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 998 | 1077 | 39% | 2016-10-09 | Won |
| 1342 | 1042 | 85% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1125 | 78% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1059 | 62% | 2016-06-20 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1239 | 1143 | 63% | 2016-02-17 | Won |
| 1019 | 1018 | 50% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
| 1239 | 1151 | 62% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 1226 | 1098 | 68% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 1175 | 1059 | 66% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1130 | 51% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1073 | 924 | 70% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 994 | 1130 | 31% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1226 | 36% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
| 1153 | 1243 | 37% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1017 | 1095 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1136.4 vs 1099.9 has a 55.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).