Aiding the Local Constabulary (3 player)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (22 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 17
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 0
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1013 | 60% | 2026-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 1171 | 82% | 2023-12-27 | | Won |
| 1055 | 959 | 63% | 2023-07-22 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2023-05-20 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1211 | 23% | 2022-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1241 | 1211 | 54% | 2022-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-06-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2021-04-10 | | Won |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2019-10-19 | | Won |
| 992 | 1098 | 35% | 2019-09-28 | | Won |
| 1211 | 952 | 82% | 2019-07-20 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2019-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-01-04 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-11-27 | | Won |
| 973 | 1219 | 20% | 2018-11-10 | | Tied |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-09-09 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-08-13 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2016-06-04 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-03-12 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2016-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1066.9 vs 1059.3 has a 51.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).