Aiding the Local Constabulary (3 player)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (21 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 17
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 0
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1413 | 1111 | 85% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 1074 | 1008 | 59% | 2023-07-22 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1058 | 51% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1293 | 1192 | 64% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1289 | 1192 | 64% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1243 | 26% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 972 | 1006 | 45% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1011 | 1010 | 50% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 1056 | 977 | 61% | 2019-10-19 | Won |
| 974 | 1037 | 41% | 2019-09-28 | Won |
| 1192 | 986 | 77% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
| 1098 | 1025 | 60% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 949 | 994 | 44% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
| 985 | 1313 | 13% | 2018-11-10 | Tied |
| 1082 | 1027 | 58% | 2017-09-09 | Tied |
| 1163 | 1223 | 41% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 993 | 60% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1223 | 1150 | 60% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1103.1 vs 1090.6 has a 51.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).