Down on the Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2025-02-13 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2017-05-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1110 | 43% | 2016-12-05 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1080.8 has a 45.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).