Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1107 | 53% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 740 | 1037 | 15% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1222 | 1037 | 74% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 864 | 998 | 32% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1221 | 1030 | 75% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1118 | 954 | 72% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1169 | 1062 | 65% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1066 | 1213 | 30% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1074 | 1008 | 59% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1011 | 66% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1128 | 1011 | 66% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1192 | 939 | 81% | 2016-05-09 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1044 | 1085 | 44% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1033.1 has a 54.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).