Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1100 | 33% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 754 | 1028 | 17% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1215 | 1028 | 75% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1163 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 864 | 927 | 41% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1219 | 1030 | 75% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1050 | 954 | 63% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1169 | 1063 | 65% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1055 | 1156 | 36% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1256 | 938 | 86% | 2016-05-09 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1020 | 70% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1043 | 1103 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1025.4 has a 54.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).