Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1088 | 34% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 756 | 1054 | 15% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1227 | 1054 | 73% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1073 | 1030 | 56% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 864 | 889 | 46% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1086 | 954 | 68% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1165 | 1064 | 64% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1051 | 1184 | 32% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1045 | 962 | 62% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1164 | 947 | 78% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1164 | 947 | 78% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1217 | 938 | 83% | 2016-05-09 | Lost |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1044 | 1084 | 44% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1072.7 vs 1016.8 has a 57.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).