Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1102 | 33% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 756 | 1003 | 19% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1216 | 1003 | 77% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1163 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 864 | 879 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1217 | 1030 | 75% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1200 | 1063 | 69% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1051 | 1204 | 29% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1052 | 1008 | 56% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 930 | 80% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1174 | 930 | 80% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1282 | 938 | 88% | 2016-05-09 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1049 | 70% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1044 | 1117 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1075.7 vs 1019.6 has a 58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).