Real Steel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (13 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1119 | 1127 | 49% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 888 | 964 | 39% | 2024-07-05 | Won |
| 881 | 1430 | 4% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1159 | 32% | 2022-03-30 | Won |
| 966 | 932 | 55% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 888 | 1015 | 32% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 982 | 80% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 863 | 884 | 47% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2017-11-24 | Lost |
| 1123 | 973 | 70% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
| 1216 | 1009 | 77% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 1064 | 1430 | 11% | 2016-06-06 | Tied |
| 1107 | 1056 | 57% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1071.5 has a 43.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).