Real Steel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (13 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 928 | 968 | 44% | 2024-07-05 | Won |
| 1248 | 1412 | 28% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1248 | 26% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 934 | 931 | 50% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 928 | 1010 | 38% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1223 | 927 | 85% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 862 | 952 | 37% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2017-11-24 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1019 | 69% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
| 1236 | 1118 | 66% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 1084 | 1412 | 13% | 2016-06-06 | Tied |
| 1113 | 1043 | 60% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1066.9 vs 1094 has a 46.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).