Real Steel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (13 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 919 | 963 | 44% | 2024-07-05 | Won |
| 1061 | 1423 | 11% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1198 | 30% | 2022-03-30 | Won |
| 967 | 932 | 55% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 919 | 1015 | 37% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 982 | 80% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 864 | 878 | 48% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2017-11-24 | Lost |
| 1116 | 995 | 67% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
| 1216 | 1009 | 77% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 1060 | 1423 | 11% | 2016-06-06 | Tied |
| 1107 | 1055 | 57% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1076.2 has a 45.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).