Real Steel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (13 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Polish): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2024-11-13 | | Won |
| 928 | 944 | 48% | 2024-07-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1435 | 8% | 2024-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1102 | 40% | 2022-03-30 | | Won |
| 944 | 932 | 52% | 2021-05-03 | | Lost |
| 928 | 1016 | 38% | 2021-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2020-10-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-08-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2017-11-24 | | Lost |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2017-10-15 | | Won |
| 1222 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-07-09 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1435 | 11% | 2016-06-06 | | Tied |
| 1107 | 1056 | 57% | 2016-03-13 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1081.5 has a 44.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).