Give 'em Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (9 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1079 | 913 | 72% | 2025-12-08 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1076 | 43% | 2024-05-10 | | Won |
| 972 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-01-31 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1218 | 22% | 2020-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1218 | 37% | 2019-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1218 | 31% | 2019-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2018-12-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 972 | 54% | 2013-02-02 | | Won |
| 972 | 1000 | 46% | 2012-01-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1066.8 has a 46.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).