The Road to Warsaw
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (19 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Polish): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
862 | 977 | 34% | 2021-02-28 | Won |
1063 | 1118 | 42% | 2020-09-18 | Lost |
1010 | 1160 | 30% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
1204 | 942 | 82% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
1204 | 942 | 82% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
1055 | 1109 | 42% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
1040 | 1115 | 39% | 2018-09-27 | Won |
1284 | 889 | 91% | 2018-01-30 | Won |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2017-12-28 | Won |
881 | 1204 | 13% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
1307 | 986 | 86% | 2017-02-21 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
994 | 849 | 70% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
1037 | 1131 | 37% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
1037 | 1131 | 37% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
1144 | 1037 | 65% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1080.6 vs 1070.2 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).