Making a Break for It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (8 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 33
Defender wins (German (SS)): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1191 | 1189 | 50% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1132 | 956 | 73% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2019-06-24 | Won |
| 1046 | 899 | 70% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2018-12-19 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2017-09-24 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1094.4 vs 1034.8 has a 58.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).