Making a Break for It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (8 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 36
Defender wins (German (SS)): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 1196 | 49% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1035 | 60% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 902 | 1109 | 23% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
| 1109 | 902 | 77% | 2019-06-24 | Won |
| 1040 | 899 | 69% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2018-12-19 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1057 | 50% | 2017-09-24 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1090 vs 1040.6 has a 57.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).