Making a Break for It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (9 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 37
Defender wins (German (SS)): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 906 | 70% | 2025-01-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1205 | 24% | 2024-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 975 | 67% | 2023-03-05 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-04-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2019-07-06 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-06-24 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-03-23 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2017-09-24 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1045.2 has a 52.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).