Defiance on Hill 30
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1050 | 1032 | 53% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1224 | 49% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 909 | 982 | 40% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 982 | 1063 | 39% | 2024-06-16 | Won |
| 1181 | 1118 | 59% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2024-01-29 | Won |
| 829 | 909 | 39% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 1029 | 970 | 58% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 909 | 65% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1045 | 970 | 61% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 939 | 909 | 54% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 932 | 947 | 48% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1226 | 44% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2021-08-26 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1016 | 81% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
| 1099 | 1016 | 62% | 2021-07-05 | Won |
| 935 | 864 | 60% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 1009 | 1215 | 23% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1020 | 48% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1159 | 33% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 1086 | 877 | 77% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 935 | 864 | 60% | 2020-02-24 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1057 | 66% | 2019-12-06 | Won |
| 1025 | 970 | 58% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 909 | 1004 | 37% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1031 | 45% | 2018-08-22 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1181 | 30% | 2018-06-18 | Lost |
| 898 | 886 | 52% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 979 | 909 | 60% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 955 | 926 | 54% | 2017-01-13 | Lost |
| 764 | 1090 | 13% | 2016-11-13 | Won |
| 869 | 846 | 53% | 2016-10-15 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 877 | 926 | 43% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 926 | 72% | 2016-01-26 | Won |
| 991 | 1268 | 17% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1001.3 vs 1009.2 has a 48.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).