Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 249 (21 on the archive and 228 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 133
Defender wins (American): 116
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1017 | 71% | 2026-04-30 | Won |
| 973 | 961 | 52% | 2025-12-05 | Lost |
| 969 | 947 | 53% | 2025-11-17 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1099 | 57% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 916 | 970 | 42% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1221 | 1004 | 78% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1101 | 1079 | 53% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1221 | 738 | 94% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1003 | 63% | 2020-05-02 | Lost |
| 992 | 944 | 57% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 911 | 1107 | 24% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1055 | 52% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1007 | 881 | 67% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 959 | 972 | 48% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
| 1077 | 881 | 76% | 2017-08-12 | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 888 | 62% | 2017-04-05 | Won |
| 1092 | 1090 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1092 | 879 | 77% | 2016-10-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 987 | 72% | 2011-09-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 974.5 has a 60.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).