Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1097 | 57% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 919 | 968 | 43% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1257 | 1018 | 80% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1095 | 1219 | 33% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1257 | 749 | 95% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 1005 | 1003 | 50% | 2020-05-02 | Lost |
| 869 | 968 | 36% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 913 | 1094 | 26% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1058 | 49% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1019 | 892 | 68% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 984 | 973 | 52% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
| 1036 | 892 | 70% | 2017-08-12 | Won |
| 903 | 949 | 43% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
| 952 | 888 | 59% | 2017-04-05 | Won |
| 1005 | 1088 | 38% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 877 | 68% | 2016-10-11 | Won |
| 1100 | 976 | 67% | 2011-09-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 984.6 has a 56.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).