Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 246 (18 on the archive and 228 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 132
Defender wins (American): 114
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1155 | 1097 | 58% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 918 | 970 | 43% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1256 | 1041 | 78% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1098 | 1203 | 35% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1256 | 741 | 95% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 934 | 1003 | 40% | 2020-05-02 | Lost |
| 893 | 997 | 35% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 912 | 1096 | 26% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1058 | 52% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 960 | 892 | 60% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 973 | 49% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
| 1028 | 892 | 69% | 2017-08-12 | Won |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
| 927 | 887 | 56% | 2017-04-05 | Won |
| 934 | 1090 | 29% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 934 | 879 | 58% | 2016-10-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 976 | 67% | 2011-09-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1014.3 vs 986.6 has a 53.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).