The T-Patchers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1220 | 1301 | 39% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 994 | 1182 | 25% | 2024-06-30 | Won |
| 909 | 939 | 46% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 998 | 55% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1053 | 1096 | 44% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1048 | 1009 | 56% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1064 | 1030 | 55% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
| 1181 | 898 | 84% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1181 | 898 | 84% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1182 | 995 | 75% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 988 | 926 | 59% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
| 1091 | 1061 | 54% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1073.2 vs 1043 has a 54.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).