The T-Patchers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1254 | 1301 | 43% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2024-06-30 | Won |
| 951 | 939 | 52% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 927 | 65% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1053 | 1096 | 44% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1030 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1123 | 1030 | 63% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
| 1203 | 893 | 86% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1203 | 893 | 86% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1145 | 937 | 77% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 988 | 927 | 59% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
| 1091 | 1063 | 54% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1083.1 vs 1029.7 has a 57.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).