Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (16 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 903 | 1000 | 36% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 898 | 966 | 40% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1092 | 1018 | 60% | 2021-12-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 994 | 53% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1073 | 952 | 67% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1018 | 80% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2021-08-18 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1032 | 59% | 2021-06-30 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 929 | 67% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 877 | 1005 | 32% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 912 | 1158 | 20% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-12-01 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 935 | 1219 | 16% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1011.9 vs 1039 has a 46.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).