Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (16 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1000 | 45% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 894 | 973 | 39% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1077 | 986 | 63% | 2021-12-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 966 | 53% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1096 | 885 | 77% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1210 | 986 | 78% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 983 | 996 | 48% | 2021-08-18 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1048 | 58% | 2021-06-30 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1039 | 73% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 909 | 69% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 879 | 1039 | 28% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 937 | 1158 | 22% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-12-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1131 | 37% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 935 | 1083 | 30% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1018.1 vs 1020.9 has a 49.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).