Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (16 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 952 | 55% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 859 | 1036 | 27% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 1002 | 878 | 67% | 2023-07-15 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1174 | 42% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1078 | 933 | 70% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1102 | 51% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1243 | 979 | 82% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1103 | 878 | 79% | 2020-12-27 | Lost |
| 1038 | 915 | 67% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 1114 | 985 | 68% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1035 | 1058 | 47% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-05-30 | Lost |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 1008 | 66% | 2012-05-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1016.5 has a 57.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).