Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (16 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 910 | 61% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 873 | 738 | 69% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 914 | 998 | 38% | 2023-07-15 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1146 | 46% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1003 | 950 | 58% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1074 | 53% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1086 | 998 | 62% | 2020-12-27 | Lost |
| 1006 | 933 | 60% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 1114 | 949 | 72% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1031 | 1194 | 28% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-05-30 | Lost |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1107 | 1007 | 64% | 2012-05-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1021.3 has a 54.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).