Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (16 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 952 | 55% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 855 | 1057 | 24% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 971 | 903 | 60% | 2023-07-15 | Lost |
| 972 | 1215 | 20% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1120 | 48% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1230 | 1136 | 63% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2020-12-27 | Lost |
| 1037 | 915 | 67% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 1134 | 962 | 73% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1035 | 1083 | 43% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-05-30 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1120 | 1009 | 65% | 2012-05-15 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1044.9 has a 51.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).