Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (17 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 889 | 1002 | 34% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1342 | 850 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 885 | 863 | 53% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1216 | 968 | 81% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1275 | 1000 | 83% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1203 | 1108 | 63% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1007 | 1216 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1063 | 986 | 61% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 968 | 1118 | 30% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1118 | 968 | 70% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1218 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 942 | 1063 | 33% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 879 | 968 | 37% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1333 | 14% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1030.8 vs 1062.4 has a 45.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).