Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (17 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 873 | 1027 | 29% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1324 | 851 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 998 | 863 | 69% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1192 | 967 | 79% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1213 | 1107 | 65% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1005 | 1214 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1074 | 986 | 62% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 933 | 1221 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 938 | 1074 | 31% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 879 | 1010 | 32% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1313 | 15% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1028.8 vs 1072.2 has a 43.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).