Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (17 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 889 | 1002 | 34% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1342 | 850 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 886 | 862 | 53% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1077 | 63% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1268 | 989 | 83% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1194 | 1108 | 62% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1007 | 1216 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1029 | 986 | 56% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1077 | 1113 | 45% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1077 | 55% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1216 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 930 | 1029 | 36% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 879 | 1077 | 24% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1340 | 13% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1072.5 has a 44.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).