Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (17 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 866 | 1025 | 29% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1330 | 850 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 927 | 863 | 59% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1141 | 947 | 75% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1257 | 947 | 86% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1189 | 1107 | 62% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1007 | 1214 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1051 | 986 | 59% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 947 | 1131 | 26% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1131 | 947 | 74% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 893 | 1198 | 15% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 893 | 1198 | 15% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 878 | 947 | 40% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1333 | 14% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1026.2 vs 1056.9 has a 45.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).