A Real Barn Burner
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 207 (59 on the archive and 148 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 122
Defender wins (German): 85
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
889 | 967 | 39% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
889 | 967 | 39% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
1015 | 1001 | 52% | 2022-08-15 | Won |
1018 | 1394 | 10% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
984 | 1092 | 35% | 2022-06-14 | Won |
998 | 1051 | 42% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
941 | 1053 | 34% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
1159 | 1034 | 67% | 2021-03-09 | Won |
992 | 1010 | 47% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
1015 | 1010 | 51% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
735 | 763 | 46% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
1083 | 1116 | 45% | 2020-11-03 | Lost |
973 | 990 | 48% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
1052 | 1168 | 34% | 2020-10-25 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
966 | 1038 | 40% | 2020-07-18 | Lost |
1010 | 1056 | 43% | 2020-02-12 | Lost |
1017 | 968 | 57% | 2020-02-11 | Won |
1016 | 968 | 57% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
1075 | 1044 | 54% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
889 | 967 | 39% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
986 | 937 | 57% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
1009 | 905 | 65% | 2018-12-29 | Lost |
1057 | 1208 | 30% | 2018-12-14 | Won |
1098 | 1101 | 50% | 2018-09-29 | Won |
958 | 926 | 55% | 2018-05-26 | Won |
972 | 972 | 50% | 2018-05-24 | Won |
961 | 937 | 53% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
1057 | 1208 | 30% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
1069 | 889 | 74% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
1001 | 1003 | 50% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
1080 | 1084 | 49% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
1020 | 997 | 53% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
997 | 1038 | 44% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
1009 | 1284 | 17% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
949 | 949 | 50% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
1273 | 1083 | 75% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
1285 | 917 | 89% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
975 | 955 | 53% | 2017-08-11 | Won |
1010 | 881 | 68% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
905 | 907 | 50% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
1077 | 1142 | 41% | 2017-06-25 | Lost |
932 | 1141 | 23% | 2017-05-22 | Lost |
937 | 1027 | 37% | 2017-04-24 | Lost |
1060 | 889 | 73% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
1036 | 1029 | 51% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
1083 | 873 | 77% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
1142 | 1231 | 37% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
891 | 1010 | 34% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
1149 | 1252 | 36% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
1311 | 1012 | 85% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
1069 | 1284 | 22% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
903 | 1031 | 32% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
903 | 1031 | 32% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
958 | 1036 | 39% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
984 | 975 | 51% | 2017-02-16 | Lost |
960 | 909 | 57% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (37 wins) average ELOs: 1015.8 vs 1028.8 has a 48.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).