Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (20 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 29
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 887 | 907 | 47% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 907 | 865 | 56% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1218 | 24% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1087 | 61% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1080 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
| 1024 | 875 | 70% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1162 | 34% | 2017-11-10 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1023 | 59% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1006 | 64% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1129 | 51% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1080 | 53% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
| 1160 | 1170 | 49% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1034.7 has a 53.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).