Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (20 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 29
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 889 | 904 | 48% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 904 | 865 | 56% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1217 | 24% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1087 | 64% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 875 | 69% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1184 | 31% | 2017-11-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1073 | 47% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 977 | 1020 | 44% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1081 | 54% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1038.3 has a 52.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).