Buckley's Block
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (39 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 57
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 70
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (Japanese): 3
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1016 | 53% | 2025-04-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2025-03-13 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1007 | 59% | 2025-02-08 | Lost |
| 911 | 1145 | 21% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 978 | 57% | 2025-02-07 | Won |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2024-05-07 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 998 | 1115 | 34% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 1242 | 930 | 86% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
| 937 | 866 | 60% | 2022-02-07 | Won |
| 1217 | 1085 | 68% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 900 | 1009 | 35% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 1193 | 753 | 93% | 2020-06-29 | Won |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 957 | 1193 | 20% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 976 | 1038 | 41% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2019-03-11 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1110 | 920 | 75% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1084 | 39% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 880 | 1013 | 32% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1165 | 31% | 2018-02-11 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1130 | 40% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 952 | 1137 | 26% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 983 | 1064 | 39% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 982 | 54% | 2017-10-13 | Won |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-09-29 | Won |
| 1061 | 973 | 62% | 2017-08-15 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2017-07-12 | Lost |
| 966 | 1137 | 27% | 2017-06-16 | Won |
| 1133 | 1081 | 57% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1011 | 1026 | 48% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1026 | 1038 | 48% | 2017-06-09 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1041 | 44% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1048.7 has a 49.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).