A Simple Solution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 29
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1048 | 38% | 2026-01-10 | Lost |
| 999 | 1220 | 22% | 2025-12-07 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1044 | 1003 | 56% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1056 | 72% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 960 | 1131 | 27% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1108 | 59% | 2019-04-11 | Lost |
| 862 | 1135 | 17% | 2019-02-27 | Won |
| 906 | 988 | 38% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1158 | 960 | 76% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 924 | 1080 | 29% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1131 | 960 | 73% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 974 | 62% | 2017-02-17 | Won |
| 1220 | 1088 | 68% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 957 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1049.5 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).