A Simple Solution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 29
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2026-01-10 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1182 | 26% | 2025-12-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1044 | 1094 | 43% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1056 | 72% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 983 | 1143 | 28% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1107 | 59% | 2019-04-11 | Lost |
| 862 | 1146 | 16% | 2019-02-27 | Won |
| 906 | 951 | 44% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 924 | 1080 | 29% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1143 | 983 | 72% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 1084 | 47% | 2017-02-17 | Won |
| 1221 | 1092 | 68% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1079 | 957 | 67% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065.5 vs 1056.3 has a 51.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).