Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (9 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 11
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-08-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-07-21 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 999 | 50% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2019-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1004 vs 999.1 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).