Zwarts' Madhouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (11 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Dutch): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2026-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 996 | 54% | 2026-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1176 | 919 | 81% | 2026-08-21 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-11-22 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2025-01-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2023-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2021-12-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2021-02-19 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2021-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-02-20 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1056 | 62% | 2019-07-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1018.4 has a 55.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).