A Line Too Thinly Held
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (8 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 13
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1227 | 1156 | 60% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 999 | 71% | 2023-05-07 | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
| 937 | 891 | 57% | 2018-10-23 | Won |
| 969 | 1123 | 29% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1048.9 vs 1065.4 has a 47.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).