Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (43 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 59
Defender wins (American): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1045 | 931 | 66% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1022 | 59% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1413 | 12% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1114 | 51% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 1040 | 995 | 56% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1151 | 37% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1124 | 991 | 68% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1136 | 1071 | 59% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 996 | 1044 | 43% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1008 | 932 | 61% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1004 | 1044 | 44% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 998 | 1039 | 44% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 925 | 70% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1098 | 1110 | 48% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1233 | 34% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1195 | 1009 | 74% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 950 | 1018 | 40% | 2019-11-18 | Lost |
| 998 | 1017 | 47% | 2019-10-29 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1060 | 42% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1118 | 53% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 1051 | 36% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1165 | 58% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1219 | 45% | 2019-04-17 | Won |
| 1061 | 1007 | 58% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1036 | 1078 | 44% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1070 | 47% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1118 | 876 | 80% | 2019-01-22 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1158 | 1277 | 34% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1138 | 939 | 76% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 905 | 1032 | 32% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
| 961 | 1181 | 22% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1128 | 858 | 83% | 2018-11-05 | Won |
| 1019 | 1037 | 47% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1052.8 has a 49.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).