Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (43 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 63
Defender wins (American): 68
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 942 | 39% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1070 | 931 | 69% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 864 | 1070 | 23% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1022 | 59% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1416 | 12% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1114 | 53% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 1003 | 1012 | 49% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1163 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1151 | 38% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 992 | 69% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1137 | 1071 | 59% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 996 | 1075 | 39% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1007 | 907 | 64% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1004 | 1043 | 44% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 927 | 1040 | 34% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 925 | 70% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 1043 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1098 | 1110 | 48% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1233 | 35% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1195 | 999 | 76% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 950 | 1018 | 40% | 2019-11-18 | Lost |
| 927 | 1017 | 37% | 2019-10-29 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1065 | 41% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1070 | 59% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1005 | 1051 | 43% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 967 | 1050 | 38% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1219 | 46% | 2019-04-17 | Won |
| 1063 | 1007 | 58% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1028 | 1078 | 43% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1070 | 47% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1070 | 876 | 75% | 2019-01-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 967 | 73% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1138 | 939 | 76% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 905 | 1029 | 33% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
| 954 | 1198 | 20% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1133 | 858 | 83% | 2018-11-05 | Won |
| 1017 | 1035 | 47% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1048.8 vs 1049.2 has a 49.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).