Hatten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (14 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1155 | 1114 | 56% | 2025-04-30 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1093 | 1000 | 63% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2023-10-16 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1122 | 48% | 2022-04-04 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1079 | 47% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1009 | 51% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 897 | 1000 | 36% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 997 | 1270 | 17% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2019-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1023.6 vs 1046.9 has a 46.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).