Hatten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (14 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2025-04-30 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1107 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1044 | 52% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1282 | 1024 | 82% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-10-16 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1216 | 59% | 2022-04-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1182 | 34% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1217 | 48% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 980 | 989 | 49% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 1173 | 1175 | 50% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 970 | 1174 | 24% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1043 | 51% | 2019-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1110.4 vs 1139.6 has a 45.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).