Bloody Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (7 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1087 | 52% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1031 | 48% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1182 | 961 | 78% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-04-28 | Won |
| 1128 | 1008 | 67% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1080.6 vs 1035.7 has a 56.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).