Bloody Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 980 | 1031 | 43% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1014 | 75% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-04-28 | Won |
| 1154 | 1008 | 70% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1089.6 vs 1040.4 has a 57.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).