Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (37 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1231 | 23% | 2026-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1004 | 58% | 2024-05-10 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1219 | 37% | 2023-05-06 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2023-05-03 | | Lost |
| 988 | 921 | 60% | 2022-10-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2022-06-17 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2022-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 1343 | 24% | 2022-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 1343 | 24% | 2022-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1435 | 8% | 2021-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2021-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1194 | 1000 | 75% | 2021-10-08 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1138 | 28% | 2021-07-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2021-07-13 | | Won |
| 954 | 808 | 70% | 2021-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2021-06-08 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-06-07 | | Won |
| 934 | 1066 | 32% | 2020-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 988 | 62% | 2020-09-22 | | Won |
| 1284 | 728 | 96% | 2020-08-10 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-08-09 | | Won |
| 1059 | 952 | 65% | 2020-08-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | | Lost |
| 999 | 989 | 51% | 2020-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1155 | 1136 | 53% | 2020-05-05 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | 2019-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2019-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2019-08-31 | | Lost |
| 986 | 981 | 51% | 2019-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2019-03-22 | | Won |
| 1228 | 981 | 81% | 2019-03-22 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1215 | 26% | 2019-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1284 | 21% | 2019-03-15 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1059 | 43% | 2018-11-17 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1057.1 vs 1071.9 has a 47.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).