Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (34 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1333 | 23% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 885 | 64% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1126 | 1203 | 39% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1218 | 43% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1419 | 10% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 998 | 995 | 50% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1130 | 32% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1104 | 1130 | 46% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 794 | 80% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1075 | 44% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 1002 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1063 | 33% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1275 | 735 | 96% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 951 | 57% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 989 | 51% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1100 | 52% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1103 | 1138 | 45% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1032 | 1118 | 38% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1000 | 65% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 940 | 56% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 997 | 1037 | 44% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1187 | 940 | 81% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1063 | 1215 | 29% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1275 | 25% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 1002 | 51% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1031 | 1118 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1073.7 vs 1070.4 has a 50.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).