Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (34 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1209 | 1270 | 41% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1309 | 25% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1309 | 1096 | 77% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 995 | 980 | 52% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1204 | 39% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1218 | 41% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1405 | 10% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 1009 | 49% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1270 | 41% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 1152 | 27% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1020 | 1152 | 32% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 950 | 830 | 67% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1108 | 39% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 978 | 1049 | 40% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1061 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1048 | 986 | 59% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1232 | 753 | 94% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 952 | 61% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1126 | 1147 | 47% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 1270 | 1203 | 60% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1147 | 30% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1108 | 999 | 65% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 913 | 60% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1189 | 913 | 83% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 997 | 1047 | 43% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1061 | 1215 | 29% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1232 | 31% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1002 | 1029 | 46% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1028 | 1140 | 34% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1072.1 vs 1090.1 has a 47.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).