Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 958 | 51% | 2024-10-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2023-05-29 | Won |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2023-05-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2022-01-03 | Won |
| 1043 | 920 | 67% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 951 | 1009 | 42% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1035 | 74% | 2019-08-02 | Won |
| 613 | 877 | 18% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 879 | 1140 | 18% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1003.9 vs 1011.9 has a 48.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).