Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1126 | 27% | 2026-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2025-12-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2025-09-20 | | Lost |
| 734 | 1187 | 7% | 2025-09-15 | | Lost |
| 966 | 926 | 56% | 2024-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1030 | 48% | 2023-05-29 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2023-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-04-08 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-01-03 | | Won |
| 1027 | 1011 | 52% | 2021-09-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | | Won |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1035 | 59% | 2019-08-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 886 | 66% | 2019-07-13 | | Won |
| 937 | 1069 | 32% | 2019-02-23 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 999.5 vs 1036 has a 44.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).