Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1018 | 54% | 2025-12-06 | Won |
| 956 | 991 | 45% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 754 | 1213 | 7% | 2025-09-15 | Lost |
| 966 | 933 | 55% | 2024-10-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 1106 | 31% | 2023-05-29 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-05-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-01-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 985 | 57% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1173 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1035 | 53% | 2019-08-02 | Won |
| 613 | 879 | 18% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 941 | 1059 | 34% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 976.1 vs 1030.7 has a 42.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).