Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2022-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-02-15 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1078 | 37% | 2021-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1129 | 37% | 2021-01-02 | | Won |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-09-14 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2019-04-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 986.8 vs 1108.8 has a 33.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).