The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (26 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2026-05-07 | Won |
| 1102 | 966 | 69% | 2025-12-13 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1119 | 53% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 928 | 62% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1007 | 74% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 969 | 61% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1117 | 47% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1172 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 951 | 58% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 1063 | 71% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1034 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 1102 | 48% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1029 | 48% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 937 | 68% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 918 | 68% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 902 | 940 | 45% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1142 | 1008 | 68% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1276 | 1152 | 67% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Won |
| 1010 | 1074 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1077.2 vs 1024.5 has a 57.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).