The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (24 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 1011 | 918 | 63% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 1004 | 1039 | 45% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1141 | 924 | 78% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 997 | 57% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1117 | 61% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 951 | 58% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1051 | 72% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1034 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 1189 | 36% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1063 | 44% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 922 | 70% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 982 | 917 | 59% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 902 | 890 | 52% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1078 | 974 | 65% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1133 | 858 | 83% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1254 | 1099 | 71% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1073.4 vs 1021.3 has a 57.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).