As Luck Would Have It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (18 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (British): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
967 | 881 | 62% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
1028 | 994 | 55% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
1058 | 1026 | 55% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2020-07-08 | Won |
886 | 780 | 65% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
1083 | 930 | 71% | 2020-02-27 | Won |
861 | 1008 | 30% | 2019-09-05 | Lost |
993 | 997 | 49% | 2019-08-17 | Lost |
1058 | 973 | 62% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
1058 | 973 | 62% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
881 | 1058 | 27% | 2019-07-27 | Tied |
1300 | 1093 | 77% | 2019-04-18 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2019-03-07 | Won |
1119 | 1087 | 55% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
984 | 990 | 49% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
1207 | 1198 | 51% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
1207 | 1198 | 51% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1040.8 vs 1021.6 has a 52.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).