Besieged
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (19 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 980 | 47% | 2025-04-27 | Won |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2023-09-24 | Lost |
| 968 | 1030 | 41% | 2023-02-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 963 | 58% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 852 | 910 | 42% | 2022-05-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 1040 | 36% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 959 | 877 | 62% | 2021-04-04 | Tied |
| 992 | 1106 | 34% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1038 | 69% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-05-12 | Lost |
| 959 | 1224 | 18% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 1431 | 16% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1141 | 84% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 959 | 1085 | 33% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 1094 | 1165 | 40% | 2020-02-11 | Won |
| 959 | 1040 | 39% | 2019-09-08 | Won |
| 1040 | 959 | 61% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1037.7 vs 1044.1 has a 49.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).