A Sideshow Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (10 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (Japanese): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1268 | 964 | 85% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 982 | 1016 | 45% | 2021-07-03 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1110 | 36% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1174 | 34% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1228 | 34% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1020 | 985 | 55% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1063 | 55% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 764 | 1022 | 18% | 2019-09-22 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1071.7 has a 44.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).