A Sideshow Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (10 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (Japanese): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1220 | 967 | 81% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2021-07-03 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1102 | 37% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1228 | 34% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1019 | 984 | 55% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1085 | 53% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 1174 | 956 | 78% | 2019-09-22 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1063.3 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).