Le Hérisson
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (10 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (French): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
998 | 959 | 56% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
1083 | 1057 | 54% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
1188 | 1126 | 59% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
998 | 998 | 50% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
998 | 933 | 59% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
901 | 960 | 42% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
961 | 1009 | 43% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
959 | 916 | 56% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
968 | 1021 | 42% | 2007-07-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1006.2 vs 998.7 has a 51.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).