Le Hérisson
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (12 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (French): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1057 | 47% | 2024-10-27 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1017 | 76% | 2024-10-22 | Lost |
| 1052 | 959 | 63% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
| 970 | 1056 | 38% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1121 | 64% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 934 | 66% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 944 | 1089 | 30% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 932 | 58% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
| 942 | 920 | 53% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1021 | 52% | 2007-07-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 1018.7 has a 54.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).