Le Hérisson
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (French): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1057 | 42% | 2024-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1040 | 71% | 2024-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-08-26 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1000 | 46% | 2023-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 1000 | 78% | 2022-09-04 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-06-28 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-02-11 | | Lost |
| 944 | 1051 | 35% | 2021-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 932 | 60% | 2020-12-04 | D | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-08-20 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1021 | 69% | 2007-07-27 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1008.4 has a 57.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).