Le Hérisson
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (13 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (French): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2025-04-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-10-27 | Lost |
| 1210 | 959 | 81% | 2024-10-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 959 | 63% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
| 968 | 1057 | 37% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1125 | 60% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1050 | 1027 | 53% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 1050 | 934 | 66% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 924 | 1008 | 38% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 951 | 1009 | 42% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
| 966 | 917 | 57% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 967 | 1021 | 42% | 2007-07-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1042.7 vs 1018.5 has a 53.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).