Feast Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (29 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 42
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1014 | 51% | 2025-09-29 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1113 | 42% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 879 | 992 | 34% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 880 | 875 | 51% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 958 | 1043 | 38% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1052 | 844 | 77% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 1083 | 1021 | 59% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1043 | 52% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 997 | 1002 | 49% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1056 | 1103 | 43% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 958 | 981 | 47% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1032 | 971 | 59% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 919 | 1010 | 37% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 1191 | 25% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1003 | 1204 | 24% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1025 | 67% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1001 | 74% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 917 | 1061 | 30% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 958 | 957 | 50% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1193 | 50% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1136 | 1034 | 64% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1135 | 59% | 2020-02-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1044 | 55% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1174 | 37% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1026.9 vs 1056.8 has a 45.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).