Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai): 3
Defender wins (Vichy): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai): 1
Defender wins (Vichy): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1126 | 1173 | 43% | 2024-11-03 | Lost |
| 1054 | 989 | 59% | 2024-07-30 | Won |
| 1032 | 980 | 57% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 922 | 1256 | 13% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1138 | 39% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 1107.2 has a 40.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).