Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai): 3
Defender wins (Vichy): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai): 1
Defender wins (Vichy): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1180 | 45% | 2024-11-03 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2024-07-30 | Won |
| 1054 | 993 | 59% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1064 | 1207 | 31% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1138 | 45% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1082.2 vs 1103 has a 47.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).