First Day of Diadem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (5 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Free French): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 1102 | 28% | 2021-08-31 | Lost |
| 944 | 1089 | 30% | 2021-03-28 | Won |
| 1175 | 1172 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1038 | 74% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1123.8 has a 39.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).