First Day of Diadem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (5 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Free French): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 1103 | 23% | 2021-08-31 | Lost |
| 967 | 1019 | 43% | 2021-03-28 | Won |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1075 | 71% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 992 | 1218 | 21% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1051.4 vs 1117.6 has a 40.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).