Failure to Communicate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (20 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (French): 30
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1095 | 47% | 2026-02-20 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 1076 | 1015 | 59% | 2025-07-12 | Won |
| 1134 | 1015 | 66% | 2025-05-25 | Won |
| 1163 | 1052 | 65% | 2025-05-17 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1165 | 31% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1036 | 48% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1012 | 41% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1064 | 49% | 2022-12-15 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2022-08-17 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1232 | 42% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2022-01-30 | Lost |
| 967 | 1027 | 41% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 1010 | 998 | 52% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1228 | 993 | 79% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 1038 | 1007 | 54% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
| 1064 | 1100 | 45% | 2020-02-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 958 | 71% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1049.2 has a 51.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).