Taking San Stefano
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (7 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 991 | 57% | 2024-03-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 1056 | 45% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1144 | 38% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 881 | 1012 | 32% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 939 | 52% | 2020-08-06 | Lost |
| 1036 | 985 | 57% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 991 | 54% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1000.9 vs 1016.9 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).