Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (20 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 24
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1110 | 43% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1058 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
| 978 | 879 | 64% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
| 885 | 1074 | 25% | 2023-08-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 984 | 66% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 1072 | 44% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 952 | 977 | 46% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 905 | 1096 | 25% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 904 | 1143 | 20% | 2022-08-11 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1098 | 70% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1043 | 54% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
| 907 | 998 | 37% | 2021-08-06 | Won |
| 1173 | 1039 | 68% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 1110 | 969 | 69% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1181 | 1062 | 66% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1169 | 32% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.1 vs 1057.4 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).