Pössl’s Posse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (26 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1416 | 1416 | 50% | 2025-09-09 | Lost |
| 916 | 1040 | 33% | 2025-03-07 | Tied |
| 1149 | 1148 | 50% | 2024-10-01 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1123 | 37% | 2024-08-23 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1084 | 47% | 2024-02-07 | Won |
| 963 | 1151 | 25% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1130 | 52% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1043 | 43% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1131 | 37% | 2022-09-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1026 | 51% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
| 1145 | 741 | 91% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1040 | 61% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1144 | 999 | 70% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 948 | 974 | 46% | 2021-09-12 | Tied |
| 1105 | 937 | 72% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1256 | 1125 | 68% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1134 | 1203 | 40% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1145 | 741 | 91% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1088.9 vs 1053.9 has a 55.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).