Pössl’s Posse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (32 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 44
Defender wins (German): 43
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 931 | 54% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 957 | 1030 | 40% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1102 | 1112 | 49% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 913 | 928 | 48% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1419 | 50% | 2025-09-09 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1040 | 50% | 2025-03-07 | Tied |
| 1150 | 1126 | 53% | 2024-10-01 | Won |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1103 | 40% | 2024-08-23 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1084 | 49% | 2024-02-07 | Won |
| 981 | 1100 | 34% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1127 | 53% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1011 | 1021 | 49% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1024 | 53% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1117 | 39% | 2022-09-17 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1018 | 53% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 1048 | 1196 | 30% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
| 1196 | 1266 | 40% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1040 | 57% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1170 | 991 | 74% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1075 | 913 | 72% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 948 | 974 | 46% | 2021-09-12 | Tied |
| 1104 | 1002 | 64% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1282 | 1123 | 71% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1136 | 1188 | 43% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1266 | 40% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1037 | 47% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1050 | 71% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1091.6 vs 1075.6 has a 52.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).