Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 886 | 51% | 2024-04-02 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1156 | 32% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 896 | 1102 | 23% | 2023-02-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-10-26 | Won |
| 870 | 960 | 37% | 2022-09-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1192 | 37% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1173 | 32% | 2022-01-02 | Won |
| 1032 | 1047 | 48% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 996 | 1032 | 45% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1065 | 51% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1166 | 899 | 82% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 1234 | 968 | 82% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1042.8 has a 47.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).