Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 891 | 50% | 2024-04-02 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1149 | 33% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 890 | 1092 | 24% | 2023-02-05 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2022-10-26 | Won |
| 856 | 960 | 35% | 2022-09-21 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1257 | 30% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2022-01-02 | Won |
| 1046 | 1047 | 50% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 995 | 956 | 56% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1065 | 51% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1154 | 928 | 79% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 1248 | 968 | 83% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023.2 vs 1047.5 has a 46.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).