Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (10 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 23
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
949 | 949 | 50% | 2024-04-02 | Lost |
1058 | 1065 | 49% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-10-26 | Won |
961 | 955 | 51% | 2022-09-21 | Lost |
1088 | 1175 | 38% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2022-01-02 | Won |
998 | 1047 | 43% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
1000 | 1168 | 28% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
1055 | 1046 | 51% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
1146 | 780 | 89% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1030.6 vs 1036.1 has a 49.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).