Oliwa's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 2
Defender wins (Russian and Polish Partisans): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1289 | 1000 | 84% | 2026-09-19 | | Won |
| 901 | 1117 | 22% | 2024-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1289 | 27% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2024-06-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2024-03-15 | | Lost |
| 999 | 1132 | 32% | 2022-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-02-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1128 has a 37.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).