Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 991 | 57% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 980 | 823 | 71% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1108 | 33% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1232 | 991 | 80% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
| 921 | 1266 | 12% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1061 | 70% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1232 | 753 | 94% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
| 914 | 1218 | 15% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1141 | 55% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1076.9 vs 1039.1 has a 55.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).