Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1041 | 50% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 927 | 878 | 57% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1099 | 34% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1041 | 78% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
| 898 | 1210 | 14% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1145 | 741 | 91% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1256 | 741 | 95% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
| 954 | 1203 | 19% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1142 | 55% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1071 vs 1010.7 has a 58.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).