Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1024 | 52% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 879 | 878 | 50% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1098 | 35% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1024 | 82% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
| 896 | 1216 | 14% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1049 | 70% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1282 | 734 | 96% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
| 940 | 1194 | 19% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1144 | 51% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1040.1 has a 54.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).