Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1010 | 54% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 889 | 910 | 47% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1084 | 36% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1010 | 77% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
| 896 | 1170 | 17% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1217 | 757 | 93% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1176 | 33% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.9 vs 1021.3 has a 54.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).